positive ev to bet on river?

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positive ev to bet on river?

Postby henrywwy » Sun Mar 04, 2012 2:07 pm

PokerStars Hand #76611413990: Hold'em No Limit ($1/$2 - $40 Cap - USD) - 2012/03/04 13:36:21 CCT [2012/03/04 0:36:21 ET]
Table 'Mireille III' 6-max Seat #5 is the button
Seat 2: BB8BB ($275.97 in chips)
Seat 4: stasics ($37.05 in chips)
Seat 5: cvsb1 ($62.20 in chips)
Seat 6: 1Bunn ($82.56 in chips)
1Bunn: posts small blind $1
BB8BB: posts big blind $2
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to BB8BB [8d 9c]
stasics: raises $2 to $4
cvsb1: folds
1Bunn: folds
BB8BB: calls $2
*** FLOP *** [2h 9s Jh]
BB8BB: checks
stasics: bets $4
BB8BB: calls $4
*** TURN *** [2h 9s Jh] [Ah]
BB8BB: checks
stasics: checks
*** RIVER *** [2h 9s Jh Ah] [4h]
BB8BB: checks
stasics: checks
*** SHOW DOWN ***
BB8BB: shows [8d 9c] (a pair of Nines)
stasics: shows [Qc Qs] (a pair of Queens)
stasics collected $16.24 from pot
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot $17 | Rake $0.76
Board [2h 9s Jh Ah 4h]
Seat 2: BB8BB (big blind) showed [8d 9c] and lost with a pair of Nines
Seat 4: stasics showed [Qc Qs] and won ($16.24) with a pair of Queens
Seat 5: cvsb1 (button) folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 6: 1Bunn (small blind) folded before Flop

Regardless of what the villain had? Im considering whether it will be positive ev to bet on river. jack or even ace will fold without a heart although villain is unlikely to have ace.
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Re: positive ev to bet on river?

Postby MJFX » Sun Mar 04, 2012 7:25 pm

General rule no showdown value - > bet the river.
Ur 3rd pair no heart seldom good at the river.
More legitimate as flush is well within ur range + ur bluffing freq is low.
Never too bad if caught. -> balance nx time and get paid off when u have a hand.
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Re: positive ev to bet on river?

Postby henrywwy » Mon Mar 05, 2012 2:46 am

yeah, did a mistake. should have jst bet. hmmmm =(
thanks for the feedback
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Re: positive ev to bet on river?

Postby chenghao » Mon Mar 05, 2012 2:19 pm

Can try to overbet the pot on the river to make him fold :mrgreen:
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Re: positive ev to bet on river?

Postby ryojin84 » Mon Mar 05, 2012 3:45 pm

can even consider betting turn some of the time agst this opponent
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